Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 2.1%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMar 25, 26, 8:16 AMDec 31, 26, 3:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Volume trend
$63Jul 176d of dataJul 22
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