Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 61.4%
No 61.4%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 24, 26, 1:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Henrique Rocha in the ATP Lisbon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Henrique Rocha.
- This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Elmer Moeller.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha · Moeller vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 69%
