Current implied probability
No 60.5%
No 60.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 9:00 AM UTCOct 3, 26, 5:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Maja Chwalinska in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Maja Chwalinska.
- This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Dayana Yastremska.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 40%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 40% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Dayana Yastremska vs. Maja Chwalinska · No 60%
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska · Yastremska vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 68%
