Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 78.5%
Yes 78.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 3:21 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 3:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Mariano Navone.
- This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alex de Minaur.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
