LimitlessClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCLimited verified dataThis market resolved: Yes (98.4%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Yes
- Recorded
- Jul 27, 2026, 8:29 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityYes 98.3%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 7:30 AMJul 27, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes98.4%
No9%
98.3%
1.7%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on July 27, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for Aerospace & Defense ETF (Pyth ITA/USD) captured on July 24, 2026 was $240.20000.
Resolution source: Pyth ITA/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 27, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which ITA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting ITA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.