KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 8:20 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 12:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Below $460.0082%
Below $450.0013%
Below $440.008%
Below $460.00Lost
Below $450.00Lost
Below $440.00Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the price of ZEC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ZECUSD_RTI price for ZEC.
- For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values.
- If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes.
- This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops.
- The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time.