KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 26, 2026, 5:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 13M 0%Leader of 15 outcomes
Above 13M 0%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
51.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If Ariana Grande has the named outcome Global views on YouTube at any point during October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:YouTube Charts
- View counts may vary by location.
- This market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address.
- Global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube.
- Any references to YouTube charts or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi.
