KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 77%
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 83.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 5:30 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
KalshiTaylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
KalshiTaylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 10, 2026)
KalshiWhich songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October?
KalshiBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 3
PolymarketBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 3
PolymarketRules
If exactly 4 unique songs credited to Taylor Swift appear in the top 4 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Billboard
- Each unique song title counts only once regardless of weeks on chart or re-entries.
- Different versions with distinct titles (acoustic, remix) count separately.
- Songs from before issuance that re-enter during the contract period count toward the total.
- Collaborations where the artist shares equal billing or is featured count.
- Songs count only if the artist is credited as primary or featured performer, not as producer/songwriter.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIDigger · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2099%
- Above 3096%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $777.6K
- 24h Vol
- $360.8K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Drew Campbell+25.0pt33%
- Dee Valladares+5.0pt26.1%
- Taylor Brown19.1%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.7M
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+3.0pt53%
- The Black Ball-2.0pt26%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt8%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.8M
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination
- Melody Morris99%
- Rick Devens+55.0pt83%
- Dee Valladares-15.0pt19%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 7599%
- Above 7099%
- Above 4599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $689.9K
- 24h Vol
- $100K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+14.8pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen+1.3pt21.3%
- Callum Turner-10.3pt14.8%
+21 more outcomes
- Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 4?
- "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office
- Forgotten Island · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- When will Taylor Swift release a new album?
- America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Wild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 77% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100? resolve?
- Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100? is scheduled to resolve on October 10, 2026.
- How is Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If exactly 4 unique songs credited to Taylor Swift appear in the top 4 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.