KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove $74.99 26%+6.0%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$238.4K
Liquidity
$201.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
28.0% / 30.0%
Spread
7.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 11:30 PMJul 13, 26, 6:30 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above $74.9926%
Compare venues· Above $68.49
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 99% | — | $238.4K | $201.1K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket70% match · auto | Medium | 99% | — | $2.3K | $66.4K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on July 13?
46.3%21h
+4.6%99%
+6.8%98%
+44.5%97%
+8 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 13, 2026 is above 64.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date.
- The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 13, 2026 is above 64.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$238.4kJul 103d of dataJul 12
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If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 13, 2026 is above 64.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date.
- The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 13, 2026 is above 64.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.