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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. NY-12 Democratic primary: George Conway vote percent
NY-12 Democratic primary: George Conway vote percent

NY-12 Democratic primary: George Conway vote percent

4.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Below 5%
Below 5% 15%-4.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$5

Liquidity

$46.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 20.0%

Spread

33.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jun 16, 26, 5:07 PMJun 23, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Below 5%15%

Rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by George Conway in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is 0% to 4.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by George Conway in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is 0% to 4.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.