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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. What will JD Vance say during his press conference?
What will JD Vance say during his press conference?

What will JD Vance say during his press conference?

One-OffPoliticsUS Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Event does not qualify (99%)

Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, 6:56 PM

Winning Outcome

Event does not qualify

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability 1%
Leader of 24 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.6K

Liquidity

$1.4K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale
Jun 3, 26, 7:00 PMJun 19, 26, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Iran / Iranian1%
Event does not qualify98%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
California1%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Israel / Israeli1%
DOJ / FBI1%
Healthcare1%
Autism / Autistic1%
Democrat (3+ times)1%
Medicare / Medicaid1%
Hospice1%
Biden1%
Minnesota / Minneapolis1%
Somali / Somalia / Somalian1%
Terrorist / Terrorism1%
Ceasefire1%
Newsom1%
Vivek / Ramaswamy1%
Daycare / Childcare1%
SNAP / Food Stamp1%
Learing1%
Shutdown / Shut Down1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4
Outcome24hChance
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Iran / Iranian
Iran / Iranian
1%
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
AI / Artificial Intelligence
1%
California
California
1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Corrupt / Corruption
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Press Conference on Federal Enforcement Actions will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference on Federal Enforcement Actions will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,963.70+0.04%EthereumETH$1,674.76+0.19%SolanaSOL$67.95+0.05%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877-1.02%XRPXRP$1.15+1.06%BNBBNB$608.69+0.03%

Related News

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Rules

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Press Conference on Federal Enforcement Actions will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference on Federal Enforcement Actions will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.