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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q2 2026?
UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q2 2026?

UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q2 2026?

Bonds & TreasuriesQuarterly19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 3.60%
Above 3.60% 1%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

94.0% / 99.0%

Spread

5.3%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Apr 1, 26, 2:00 PMJun 30, 26, 7:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 3.60%1%

Rules

Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.70%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.80%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,679.67+2.61%EthereumETH$1,652.39+2.20%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.87%

Related Markets

UST par yield curve (5Y) at end of Q2 2026

UST par yield curve (5Y) at end of Q2 2026

$0
Above 3.50%: 96%KalshiKALSHI
UST par yield curve (30Y) at end of Q2 2026

UST par yield curve (30Y) at end of Q2 2026

$0
Above 4.00%: 97%KalshiKALSHI
UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q2 2026

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q2 2026

$0
Above 3.00%: 0%KalshiKALSHI
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$42.8
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$1
Yes: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$0
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

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Rules

Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.70%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.80%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.10%, then the market resolves to Yes.