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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Macro & Economy
  3. US retail sales in June
US retail sales in June

US retail sales in June

11.0% (24h)MonthlyMacro & EconomyEconomy27d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 0.4%
Above 0.4% 45%+11.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$24.2

Liquidity

$25.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

43.0% / 44.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 17, 26, 10:15 PMJul 16, 26, 12:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 0.4%45%

Rules

If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

South Africa retail sales in May

South Africa retail sales in May

$0.4
Above 0.0%: 57%KalshiKALSHI
US Challenger job cuts in June

US Challenger job cuts in June

$0
Above 110,000: 14%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

$0
Above -25,000: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the May Jobs report be revised upwards in June?

$65
Yes: 46.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

$7.9K
Yes: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the national debt surpass 40 trillion during Trumps presidency?

$1K
Yes: 97.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,455.01-2.45%EthereumETH$1,689.54-2.98%SolanaSOL$68.20-4.15%XRPXRP$1.12-3.82%BNBBNB$571.86-2.99%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-2.89%

Related News

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Rules

If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.