KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (78%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 3:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 3:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes22%
No78%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the value of the USD/JPY exchange rate is at least the value of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 11:15 PM EDT on October 20, 2026 At 11:30 PM EDT on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth
- The market resolves based on the Close price of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network At 11:30 PM EDT on Oct 20, 2026.
- The Target Price of the value of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 11:15 PM EDT on October 20, 2026 equals the value of the USD/JPY exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at the opening of the 15-minute window. "Above" means strictly greater than ( ).
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- Rounding to 3 decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified.
- If an Expiration Value cannot be determined at the specified time, the market may be resolved pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process under Rule 7.1, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency.
