KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 154.750 to 154.999 (51%)
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
154.750 to 154.999
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
154.750 to 154.999 49.5%Leader of 15 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.6K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleSep 14, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
153.000 to 153.2490%
153.250 to 153.4990%
155.750 to 155.9990%
156.000 to 156.2490%
156.25 or above2%
155.000 to 155.24919%
154.750 to 154.99916%
154.250 to 154.49916%
154.500 to 154.7491%
155.250 to 155.49910%
154.000 to 154.24915%
152.999 or below6%
153.500 to 153.7490%
153.750 to 153.9990%
155.500 to 155.7490%
49.5%
35.9%
2.9%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is below 153.000 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is between 153.000-153.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is between 153.250-153.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is between 153.500-153.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is between 153.750-153.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is between 154.000-154.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Foreign ExchangeKALSHIEUR/USD price range on Sep 21, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 1.14800 to 1.14999-21.0pt28.2%
- 1.14600 to 1.14799-5.0pt20.9%
- 1.15000 to 1.15199+4.0pt19.1%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19.1K
- 24h Vol
- $10.7K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.8pt55%
- SpaceX-5.0pt38%
- OpenAI-0.2pt1%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
- 2.0 - 2.5M+4.0pt31.3%
- 2.5 - 3.0M-1.0pt26.3%
- 3.0 - 3.5M-6.5pt18.2%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIUSD/JPY price on Sep 21, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 156.249 or below-4.0pt28%
- 156.750 to 156.99914%
- 157.250 to 157.4999%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.2K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M++3.0pt87.5%
- 2.1-2.2M-2.2pt4.8%
- 2.0-2.1M2.9%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes-5.4pt4%
- Total Vol
- $190K
- 24h Vol
- $682.7
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USD/JPY price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 154.750 to 154.999 at 50% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does USD/JPY price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- USD/JPY price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is USD/JPY price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for September 15, 2026 is below 153.000 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.