KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Julian Erosa to win in Round 1 (16%)
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 11:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Julian Erosa to win in Round 1
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 9:58 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Julian Erosa to win in Round 37%
Julian Erosa to win in Round 211%
Jung-Young Lee to win in Round 127%
Julian Erosa to win in Round 116%
Jung-Young Lee to win in Round 214%
Jung-Young Lee to win in Round 37%
Decision / Draw / No Contest21%
Lost
Lost
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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KalshiRules
If Julian Erosa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Jung-Young Lee to win in Round 1
- If Jung-Young Lee wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest in the full fight of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Julian Erosa to win in Round 1
- If Julian Erosa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jung-Young Lee to win in Round 2
- If Jung-Young Lee wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Julian Erosa to win in Round 2
- If Julian Erosa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Julian Erosa to win in Round 3
- If Julian Erosa wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jung-Young Lee to win in Round 3
- If Jung-Young Lee wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Julian Erosa vs. Jung-Young Lee UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
