KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 1:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probabilityDecision / Draw / No Contest 23.3%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.1K
Open interest
$22.9K
Medium open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 29, 26, 1:31 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 4:20 AM UTC
Trends
23.3%
15.5%
12.6%
11.7%
8.7%
7.8%
5.8%
4.8%
3.9%
2.9%
2.9%
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest in the full fight of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Renato Moicano to win in Round 1
- If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Nolan to win in Round 1
- If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Renato Moicano to win in Round 2
- If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Nolan to win in Round 2
- If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Renato Moicano to win in Round 3
- If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Nolan to win in Round 3
- If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Renato Moicano to win in Round 4
- If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Nolan to win in Round 4
- If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Nolan to win in Round 5
- If Tom Nolan wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 5 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Renato Moicano to win in Round 5
- If Renato Moicano wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 5 of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.