KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Colby Thicknesse by Decision (99%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 4:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Colby Thicknesse by Decision
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
8%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Asaf Chopurov by KO/TKO/DQ35%
Colby Thicknesse by Decision99%
Colby Thicknesse by KO/TKO/DQ5%
Asaf Chopurov by Decision1%
Colby Thicknesse by Submission5%
Asaf Chopurov by Submission20%
Draw/No Contest2%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Colby Thicknesse wins by Decision during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- Colby Thicknesse by Decision
- If Colby Thicknesse wins by Decision during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Asaf Chopurov by KO/TKO/DQ
- If Asaf Chopurov wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Colby Thicknesse by KO/TKO/DQ
- If Colby Thicknesse wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Asaf Chopurov by Decision
- If Asaf Chopurov wins by Decision during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Colby Thicknesse by Submission
- If Colby Thicknesse wins by Submission during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Asaf Chopurov by Submission
- If Asaf Chopurov wins by Submission during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Draw/No Contest
- If the Colby Thicknesse and Asaf Chopurov fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.