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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. TX-07 Republican nominee?
TX-07 Republican nominee?

TX-07 Republican nominee?

0.8% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Alexander Hale (99%)

Resolved: May 27, 2026, 1:50 AM

Current implied probability
Alexander Hale
Alexander Hale 99%+0.8%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.8

Liquidity

$57.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 16 days ago

Stale
Feb 11, 26, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Alexander Hale
Alexander Hale
+0.8%
99%
Tina Blum Cohen
Tina Blum Cohen
-9.0%
1%
Alexander Kalai
Alexander Kalai
1%
Erin Montgomery
Erin Montgomery
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Tina Blum Cohen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Alexander Hale wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alexander Kalai wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Erin Montgomery wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Tina Blum Cohen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Alexander Hale wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alexander Kalai wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Erin Montgomery wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TX-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.