KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 10 · —
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Stored price
Above 10 45.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 10 45.5%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$186.2
Open interest
$19K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 10Spread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 0s (informational)
Market depth · Above 10
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 9 in 2026?
ForecastExWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 12 in 2026?
ForecastExWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 10 in 2026?
ForecastExOn the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold MarketsWill a named tropical cyclone make landfall in Delaware, Maryland, or Virginia between June 1 and November 30?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a major hurricane landfall within 50 miles of Escambia, Florida in 2026? (tropical cyclone) (storm) (weather)?
ForecastExRules
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 10
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 14 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 16 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 25 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 18 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 20 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 30 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
