Current implied probability
Hikaru Nakamura 20%Leader of 49 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$12.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 20.0%
Spread
42.9%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 10:30 PMJul 21, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hikaru Nakamura20%
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If Arjun Erigaisi finishes in the top 3 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the Titled Tuesday chess competition originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT.
- The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds.
- If Sina Movahed finishes in the top 3 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Dmitry Andreikin finishes in the top 3 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 3 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.