KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 63° or above (95%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
65° or above13%
62° or above99%
63° or above95%
64° or above65%
56° or above0%
57° or above0%
58° or above0%
59° or above0%
60° or above0%
61° or above0%
62° or aboveLost
63° or aboveWon
64° or aboveLost
65° or aboveLost
56° or aboveLost
57° or aboveLost
58° or aboveLost
59° or aboveLost
60° or aboveLost
61° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 10, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 10, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 11, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 11, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 68 F on October 10, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 69 F on October 10, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 65° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 55.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 56.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 58° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 57.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 59° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 58.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 10, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
