KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 68° or above (28%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
68° or above28%
67° or above99%
69° or above3%
66° or above99%
61° or above0%
62° or above0%
63° or above0%
64° or above0%
65° or above0%
70° or above0%
67° or aboveLost
Before close: 93% ·
66° or aboveLost
Before close: 99% ·
68° or aboveWon
Before close: 8% ·
69° or aboveLost
Before close: 3% ·
61° or aboveLost
Before close: 0% ·
62° or aboveLost
Before close: 0% ·
63° or aboveLost
Before close: 0% ·
64° or aboveLost
Before close: 0% ·
65° or aboveLost
Before close: 0% ·
70° or aboveLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 3, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 3, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 71 F on October 3, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 73 F on October 3, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 67° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 66.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 66° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 65.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 65° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 3, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
