KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
79° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
79° or above 99%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$17.9K
Open interest
$13.7K
Medium open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 1:00 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
79° or above99%
78° or above99%
77° or above99%
74° or above99%
75° or above99%
76° or above99%
80° or above97%
81° or above55%
82° or above9%
73° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 28, 2026?
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PolymarketLowest temperature in Miami on September 29?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Miami (MIA)(KMIA) exceed 87 F on September 28, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 28, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 28, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 28, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 28, 2026 at 10 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.