KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 88° or above (99%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 5:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
89° or above28%
88° or above62%
87° or above92%
90° or above4%
86° or above87%
82° or above97%
85° or above87%
83° or above99%
84° or above0%
91° or above2%
Won
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 20% ·
Lost
Before close: 3% ·
Lost
Before close: 2% ·
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology.
- Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Miami+10.0pt99%
- College Station+83.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+89.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $806.4K
- 24h Vol
- $778.5K
KALSHIETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,020 or above99%
- $2,100 or above99%
- $2,140 or above99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $725.7K
- 24h Vol
- $502.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+47.0pt95.2%
- 81° to 82°1%
- 74° or below-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $468.3K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $77,000 or above+1.0pt99%
- $76,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $78,000 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 220-239+16.0pt39.6%
- 200-219-2.0pt24.8%
- 240-259+5.0pt18.8%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?
- 65-89+15.5pt69%
- 90-114+17.5pt30%
- 115-139-2.6pt1%
+7 more outcomes
- BTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 22, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026?
- ETH price range on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 22, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- When does Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 12pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 12pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Miami on Sep 16, 2026 at 12pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 16, 2026 at 12 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.