KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
77° or above 98%Leader of 10 outcomes
77° or above 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$23.7K
Open interest
$15.2K
Medium open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
77° or above98%
78° or above92%
79° or above43%
80° or above1%
81° or above1%
82° or above1%
83° or above0%
84° or above0%
85° or above0%
86° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 26, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Oct 26, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on October 26?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on October 27?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 77° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 84° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 85° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 86° or above
- If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Oct 25, 2026 at 5 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.