KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 99° or above (92%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
98° or above 97%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
8 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$50
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 21, 26, 6:00 PMAug 21, 26, 7:00 PM
Trends
97%
97%
97%
97%
92%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
Rules
If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 21, 2026 3 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 94.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 21, 2026 3 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 95.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above+31.0pt99%
- $76,250 or above+18.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+15.0pt99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 340-359+12.2pt21.8%
- 320-339+5.7pt20.8%
- 360-379+11.8pt17.8%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,500 or above98%
- $68,000 or above97%
- $66,000 or above96%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $471.3K
- 24h Vol
- $470.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 22, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+65.0pt92.3%
- 84° or above-13.0pt3.9%
- 78° to 79°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.2pt10.3%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.3pt10.3%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-2.0pt8.4%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,400 or above99%
- $2,320 or above99%
- $2,360 or above99%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $240.7K
- 24h Vol
- $240K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT??
- Kalshi prices 98° or above at 97% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT? resolve?
- Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Temperature in Austin on Aug 21, 2026 at 3pm EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the temperature recorded at Austin, TX for Aug 21, 2026 3 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KAUS), is above 94.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.