KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Selena Gomez (99%)
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, 3:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Selena Gomez
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilitySelena Gomez 99%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$27.1K
Liquidity
$397.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleJun 30, 26, 5:00 PMDec 31, 28, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Margaret Qualley2%
2%
30%
99%
1%
36%
98%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Selena Gomez
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall65% match · verified | Medium | 100% | — | $1.2K | $2.6K | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 99% | — | $27.1K | $397.9K | 21 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
13.8 pts5mo
+5.9pt100%
+6.9pt100%
+10.4pt100%
+13 more outcomes
53 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If Selena Gomez attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves.
- Virtual attendance counts as attendance unless the event is explicitly in-person only.
- Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
- If Blake Lively attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Phoebe Bridgers attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.1k49.0%POLYMARKETWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yespretzel11d ago
POLYMARKETWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yespretzel11d ago$5.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — YesZhangMuZhisDaddy15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — YesZhangMuZhisDaddy15d ago$5.9k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yesx.o15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yesx.o15d ago$3.2k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yeslooppau15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yeslooppau15d ago$2.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — YesOraculumNobius15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — YesOraculumNobius15d ago$3.2k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yeslooppau15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — Yeslooppau15d ago$3.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — YesNeoOracle15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — YesNeoOracle15d ago$1.5k98.0%POLYMARKETWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — NoCompassionate-Kneejerk15d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — NoCompassionate-Kneejerk15d agoVolume trend
$27.1kJul 25d of dataJul 6
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Rules
If Selena Gomez attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves.
- Virtual attendance counts as attendance unless the event is explicitly in-person only.
- Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
- If Blake Lively attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Phoebe Bridgers attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.