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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Will it rain in NYC on Jun 13, 2026?
Will it rain in NYC on Jun 13, 2026?

Will it rain in NYC on Jun 13, 2026?

Foreign ExchangeOne-Off22h
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 6%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.2

Liquidity

$1.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 11.0%

Spread

83.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 2:00 PMJun 14, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes6%

Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 13, 2026 or June 20, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 20, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.

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Rules

If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on June 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches.
  • If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for June 13, 2026 or June 20, 2026.
  • If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on June 20, 2026, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.