KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Trump · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Trump 86.5%Leader of 14 outcomes
Trump 86.5%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$754.7
Open interest
$787.4
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
TrumpSpread
—
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 6:30 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Trump
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Wes Moore win the Maryland general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Wes Moore win the 2026 Maryland Governors election by 34.000% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Wes Moore win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExMaryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?
KalshiRules
If Wes Moore says Trump as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Wes Moore speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Trump
- If Wes Moore says Trump as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican
- If Wes Moore says Republican as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Veteran
- If Wes Moore says Veteran as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Wes Moore says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If Wes Moore says 2028 / Campaign as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Wes Moore says Data Center as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Wes Moore says Iran / Iranian as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Wes Moore says Healthcare as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Wes Moore says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Energy / Electricity
- If Wes Moore says Energy / Electricity as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Wes Moore says Billionaire as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Wes Moore says Tariff as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Wes Moore says Corrupt / Corruption as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.