KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Austin Smotherman beats Schenk and Thompson (99%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 3:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Austin Smotherman beats Schenk and Thompson
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 3:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Austin Smotherman beats Schenk and Thompson99%
Davis Thompson beats Schenk and Smotherman2%
Adam Schenk beats Smotherman and Thompson0%
Austin Smotherman beats Schenk and ThompsonWon
Davis Thompson beats Schenk and SmothermanLost
Adam Schenk beats Smotherman and ThompsonLost
Rules
If Austin Smotherman is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Austin Smotherman, Adam Schenk, and Davis Thompson in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Austin Smotherman beats Schenk and Thompson
- If Austin Smotherman is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Austin Smotherman, Adam Schenk, and Davis Thompson in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Davis Thompson beats Schenk and Smotherman
- If Davis Thompson is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Davis Thompson, Adam Schenk, and Austin Smotherman in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adam Schenk beats Smotherman and Thompson
- If Adam Schenk is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Adam Schenk, Austin Smotherman, and Davis Thompson in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
