KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 10:30 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 9:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Alianza Lima wins by more than 1.5 goals 30%Leader of 4 outcomes
Alianza Lima wins by more than 1.5 goals 30%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.5K
Open interest
$7.7K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 9:07 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 12:30 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Sporting Cristal wins by more than 1.5 goals3%
Sporting Cristal wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Alianza Lima wins by more than 1.5 goals30%
Alianza Lima wins by more than 2.5 goals9%
Alianza Lima wins by more than 1.5 goals30%
Alianza Lima wins by more than 2.5 goals9%
Sporting Cristal wins by more than 1.5 goals3%
Sporting Cristal wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano
PolymarketClub Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano - Exact Score
PolymarketCD Los Chankas vs. Club Alianza Lima - Halftime Result
PolymarketCD Los Chankas vs. Club Alianza Lima - Exact Score
PolymarketSporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
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Rules for each outcome
- Alianza Lima wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Alianza Lima wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alianza Lima wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Alianza Lima wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sporting Cristal wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Sporting Cristal wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sporting Cristal wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Sporting Cristal wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.