KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 380 · —
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Stored price
At least 450 61%Market line of 12 lines
At least 450 61%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$6.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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At least 380Spread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 380
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any US oil company reach a market capitalization of over $1 trillion in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US Oil Production exceed 14,500 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Oil Production exceed 14,700 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Oil Production exceed 15,100 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Oil Production exceed 14,900 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExUS refinery utilization in November
KalshiRules
If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 450, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The American Oil & Gas Reporter
- For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 380
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 380, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 420
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 420, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 370
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 370, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 390
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 390, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 400
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 410
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 410, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 430
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 430, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 440
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 440, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 450
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 450, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 550
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 550, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 600
- If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 600, then the market resolves to Yes.
