KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Seattle Reign (96%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 10:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Seattle Reign
- Recorded
- Jul 12, 2026, 11:31 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilitySeattle Reign 96%+63.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$318.6K
Liquidity
$291.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
94.0% / 95.0%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 9, 26, 12:34 AMJul 26, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Seattle Reign96%
Portland Thorns1%
Tie5%
96%
1%
5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Seattle Reign
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 96% | — | $318.6K | $291.5K | 5 hours ago | |
 Polymarket75% match · auto | High | 100% | — | $23.7K | $261.7K | 3 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Seattle Reign FC vs. Portland Thorns FC
67.5%Closed
Resolved
Seattle Reign (100%)
+67.5%100%
-24.9%0%
-42.0%0%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$23.9K
24h Vol$23.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If Seattle Reign wins the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If Portland Thorns wins the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tie is the result of the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$318.6kJul 94d of dataJul 12
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If Seattle Reign wins the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If Portland Thorns wins the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tie is the result of the Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.