KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
AI / Artificial Intelligence · —
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Stored price
AI / Artificial Intelligence 94.5%Leader of 23 outcomes
AI / Artificial Intelligence 94.5%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Open interest
$12.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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AI / Artificial IntelligenceSpread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · AI / Artificial Intelligence
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jensen Huang be one of the three richest people in the world at any point before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote?
KalshiWhat will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?
KalshiRules
If Jensen Huang says Robot / Robotic / Robotics as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:NVIDIA Corporation Investor Events
- How this is resolved Video of the GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Jensen Huang speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Jensen Huang says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rubin / Vera Rubin
- If Jensen Huang says Rubin / Vera Rubin as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics
- If Jensen Huang says Robot / Robotic / Robotics as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Jensen Huang says Data Center as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Europe / European
- If Jensen Huang says Europe / European as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical AI
- If Jensen Huang says Physical AI as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Self-driving / Autonomous
- If Jensen Huang says Self-driving / Autonomous as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Omniverse
- If Jensen Huang says Omniverse as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Blackwell
- If Jensen Huang says Blackwell as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Open Source
- If Jensen Huang says Open Source as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI / ChatGPT
- If Jensen Huang says OpenAI / ChatGPT as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cosmos
- If Jensen Huang says Cosmos as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Humanoid
- If Jensen Huang says Humanoid as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TSMC
- If Jensen Huang says TSMC as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Automate / Automated / Automation
- If Jensen Huang says Automate / Automated / Automation as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Anthropic / Claude
- If Jensen Huang says Anthropic / Claude as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gaming
- If Jensen Huang says Gaming as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hermes
- If Jensen Huang says Hermes as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hyperscaler
- If Jensen Huang says Hyperscaler as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Jensen Huang says China / Chinese as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Middle East
- If Jensen Huang says Iran / Middle East as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Jensen Huang says Tariff as part of GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.