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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. US new home sales for May
US new home sales for May

US new home sales for May

12.0% (24h)MonthlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy13d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 640,000
Above 640,000 77%+12.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3.2

Liquidity

$18.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

73.0% / 80.0%

Spread

9.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

May 28, 26, 3:00 PMJun 24, 26, 1:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 640,00077%

Rules

If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 560,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 580,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 600,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 620,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 640,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 660,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,678.63+2.61%EthereumETH$1,652.06+2.18%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.91%BNBBNB$594.94+1.89%XRPXRP$1.12+0.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.06%

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Rules

If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 560,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 580,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 600,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 620,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 640,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for May 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 660,000, then the market resolves to Yes.