KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 8:45 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Josh Downs 4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Josh Downs 4%Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$1.1K
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 26, 5:05 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Josh Downs5%
Justin Jefferson2%
Aaron Jones Sr.0%
Jonathan Taylor3%
Josh Downs4%
Justin Jefferson2%
Aaron Jones Sr.0%
Jonathan Taylor0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000 s = official receptions The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Josh Downs
- If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Josh Downs in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
- Justin Jefferson
- If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Justin Jefferson in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aaron Jones Sr.
- If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Aaron Jones Sr. in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jonathan Taylor
- If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Jonathan Taylor in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
