KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (93%)
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 6:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 6:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes93%
No7%
YesWon
NoLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.