KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (78%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 11:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 78%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$923.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 23.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 11:30 AMAug 21, 26, 11:45 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes22%
No78%
78%
22%
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Aug 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on August 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+74.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1M
- 24h Vol
- $5.3M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?
- ↑ 77,500+77.6pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+77.7pt100%
- ↑ 72,500+88.0pt100%
+34 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
- ↑ 70,000+29.4pt100%
+41 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in August?
- ↑ 2,400+49.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,300+96.9pt100%
- ↑ 2,200+92.5pt100%
+32 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will XRP hit in August?
- ↑ 1.40+93.3pt100%
- ↑ 1.20+97.0pt100%
- ↓ 1.00+24.4pt100%
+19 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.3pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- ETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
- How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?
- BTC price on August 21
- How high will ETH get in August?
- What price will Solana hit in August?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NEAR 15 min · $1.8985 target?
- Kalshi prices No at 78% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does NEAR 15 min · $1.8985 target resolve?
- NEAR 15 min · $1.8985 target is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is NEAR 15 min · $1.8985 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 7:45 AM EDT on Aug 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 7:30 AM EDT on August 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.