KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: North Carolina wins by over 3.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Oct 17, 2026, 11:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
North Carolina wins by over 3.5 points
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Duke wins by over 10.5 points3%
Duke wins by over 2.5 points1%
Duke wins by over 3.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 9.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 14.5 points11%
North Carolina wins by over 4.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 5.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 10.5 points1%
Duke wins by over 13.5 points23%
North Carolina wins by over 6.5 points61%
North Carolina wins by over 7.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 3.5 points99%
North Carolina wins by over 1.5 points99%
North Carolina wins by over 2.5 points99%
Duke wins by over 1.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 13.5 points24%
Duke wins by over 7.5 points1%
Duke wins by over 20.5 points2%
Duke wins by over 14.5 points3%
Duke wins by over 17.5 points3%
Duke wins by over 16.5 points3%
Duke wins by over 4.5 points1%
North Carolina wins by over 3.5 pointsWon
North Carolina wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 2.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 14.5 pointsLost
Duke wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Duke wins by over 2.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 4.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 5.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 9.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 16.5 pointsLost
Duke wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 13.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 11.5 pointsLost
Duke wins by over 4.5 pointsLost
North Carolina wins by over 17.5 pointsLost
Duke wins by over 5.5 pointsLost
Duke wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Duke wins by more than 20.5 points in the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Duke wins by more than 17.5 points in the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
