KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above $2.945 (89%)
Resolved: Sep 1, 2026, 10:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Above $2.905 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$69.9K
Liquidity
$32.3K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 26, 9:00 AMSep 1, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Above $2.94589%
Above $2.94098%
Above $2.95054%
Above $2.91063%
Above $2.93596%
Above $2.9603%
Above $2.90568%
Above $2.91565%
Above $2.92059%
Above $2.95523%
Above $2.90070%
Above $2.97025%
Above $2.9300%
Above $2.9650%
Above $2.89077%
Above $2.89575%
Above $2.86540%
Above $2.88579%
Above $2.92553%
Above $2.88032%
Above $2.86089%
Above $39%
Above $2.85599%
Above $2.87086%
Above $2.87584%
Above $2.98014%
Above $2.85099%
Above $2.99512%
Above $2.9750%
Above $2.98518%
Above $2.99016%
Above $3.0702%
Above $3.0753%
Above $3.0050%
Above $3.0100%
Above $3.0150%
Above $3.0200%
Above $3.0250%
Above $3.0300%
Above $3.0350%
Above $3.0400%
Above $3.0450%
Above $3.0500%
Above $3.0550%
Above $3.0600%
Above $3.0650%
Above $3.0800%
Above $3.0850%
Above $3.0900%
Above $3.0950%
Above $3.1000%
Above $3.1050%
Above $3.1100%
Above $3.1150%
Above $3.1200%
Above $3.1250%
Above $3.1300%
Above $3.1350%
Above $3.1400%
Above $3.1450%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
96%
96%
96%
96%
95%
93%
89%
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.850 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.855 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
