KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation (99%)
Resolved: Sep 6, 2026, 6:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
55%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 6, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Afford / Affordable / Affordability39%
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation99%
Trump (3+ times)67%
Corrupt / Corruption62%
ICE / DHS26%
Netanyahu / Israel7%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline16%
Healthcare38%
Iran / Iranian42%
Republican0%
Epstein29%
Election85%
Event does not qualify1%
Investigate / Investigated / InvestigationWon
Trump (3+ times)Lost
Corrupt / CorruptionLost
Netanyahu / IsraelLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
HealthcareLost
Iran / IranianLost
RepublicanLost
ElectionLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
ICE / DHSLost
EpsteinLost
Event does not qualifyLost
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ForecastExRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Meet the Press using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Meet the Press will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Jamie Raskin speaking in an official capacity.