KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDemocrats, 76+ pts 82%+30.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$9.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 90.9%
Spread
5.7%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:23 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrats, 76+ pts82%
Volume trend
$3.3kJul 233d of dataJul 25
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 55 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.