KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability90° or above 94.3%+22.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.5K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 2:00 PMJul 28, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
88° to 89°1%
Compare venues· 90° or above
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $5.5K | $5.1K | 21 minutes ago | |
 ForecastEx81% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $374 | $145 | 1 hour ago | Open → |
Also available on ForecastEx
Will the lowest temperature in Las Vegas (LAS)(KLAS) be below 92 F on July 27, 2026?
Closed
98%
2%
27 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$374
24h Vol$374
FORECASTEXRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 27, 2026, is less than 82° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5.5kJul 263d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 28, 2026?
$2K88° or above: 91%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
$613.3K87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIHighest temperature in LA on Jul 28, 2026?
$77.4K84° or above: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
$226.8K29°C: 92%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?
$137.5K13°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 28?
$117.5K30°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter
Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt
Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto NewsRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jul 27, 2026, is less than 82° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLILAS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=vef, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Las Vegas, NV" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.