KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Toluca 55.8%-1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$552.1
Liquidity
$936.2
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 5, 26, 8:36 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Puebla wins the Puebla vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Puebla vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Toluca is 58%. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Toluca 58% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC · Deportivo 54%
- Also available on Futuur — Puebla vs. Toluca · Toluca 58%
Open markets
Soccer
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal-1.0pt13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.4pt61.2%
- Lamine Yamal+1.7pt15.5%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.2pt10.7%
+28 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- FC Bayern München+1.0pt89.1%
- Draw (FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt)7.9%
- FK Bodø/Glimt-1.0pt3%
- Total Vol
KALSHIBayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt89.2%
- Tie6.9%
- Bodoe/Glimt-1.0pt3.9%
- Total Vol
- $366.2K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Roma+2.0pt45.6%
- Fenerbahce-1.0pt27.2%
- Tie27.2%
- Total Vol
- $318.8K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETFenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma
- AS Roma+1.0pt45.5%
- Fenerbahçe SK-1.0pt27.7%
- Draw (Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma)-1.0pt26.7%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Puebla vs Toluca?
- Kalshi prices Toluca at 56% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Puebla vs Toluca resolve?
- Puebla vs Toluca is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Puebla vs Toluca settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Puebla wins the Puebla vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Puebla vs Toluca listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Futuur.