KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Toluca 64.4%-1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.7K
Liquidity
$19.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 29, 26, 12:49 AM UTCSep 14, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Toluca wins the Toluca vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Toluca vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Toluca is 65%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Toluca 65% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC · Deportivo Toluca 64%
- Also available on Futuur — Toluca vs. Atlas · Toluca 63%
Open markets
Soccer
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- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal-1.0pt13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.4pt61.2%
- Lamine Yamal+1.7pt15.5%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.2pt10.7%
+28 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- FC Bayern München+1.0pt89.1%
- Draw (FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt)7.9%
- FK Bodø/Glimt-1.0pt3%
- Total Vol
KALSHIBayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt89.2%
- Tie6.9%
- Bodoe/Glimt-1.0pt3.9%
- Total Vol
- $366.2K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Roma+2.0pt45.6%
- Fenerbahce-1.0pt27.2%
- Tie27.2%
- Total Vol
- $318.8K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETFenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma
- AS Roma+1.0pt45.5%
- Fenerbahçe SK-1.0pt27.7%
- Draw (Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma)-1.0pt26.7%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Toluca vs Atlas?
- Kalshi prices Toluca at 64% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Toluca vs Atlas resolve?
- Toluca vs Atlas is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Toluca vs Atlas settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Toluca wins the Toluca vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Toluca vs Atlas listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Futuur.