KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Kylian Mbappe (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Kylian Mbappe99%
Lamine Yamal16%
Raphinha16%
Jude Bellingham15%
Yan Diomande20%
Arda Guler5%
Anthony Gordon12%
Fermin Lopez1%
Federico Valverde4%
Joao Cancelo12%
Bernardo Silva95%
Rodri1%
Pedri0%
No Goal0%
Xavi Espart Font0%
Marc Cucurella1%
Pau Cubarsi2%
Aurelien Tchouameni2%
Ibrahima Konate0%
Gerard Martin0%
Dean Huijsen0%
Kylian MbappeWon
Before close: 83% ·
No GoalLost
Before close: 25% ·
Yan DiomandeLost
Before close: 1% ·
Jude BellinghamLost
Before close: 13% ·
Arda GulerLost
Before close: 5% ·
Joao CanceloLost
Before close: 4% ·
PedriLost
Before close: 4% ·
Ibrahima KonateLost
Before close: 4% ·
Federico ValverdeLost
Before close: 3% ·
Bernardo SilvaLost
Before close: 3% ·
Pau CubarsiLost
Before close: 2% ·
Aurelien TchouameniLost
Before close: 2% ·
Gerard MartinLost
Before close: 2% ·
Dean HuijsenLost
Before close: 2% ·
Lamine YamalLost
Before close: 1% ·
RaphinhaLost
Before close: 1% ·
Anthony GordonLost
Before close: 1% ·
Fermin LopezLost
Before close: 9% ·
RodriLost
Before close: 3% ·
Xavi Espart FontLost
Before close: 1% ·
Rules
If Kylian Mbappe records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ESPN
- The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored.
Rules for each outcome
- Kylian Mbappe
- If Kylian Mbappe records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No Goal
- If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yan Diomande
- If Yan Diomande records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jude Bellingham
- If Jude Bellingham records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arda Guler
- If Arda Guler records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joao Cancelo
- If Joao Cancelo records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pedri
- If Pedri records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ibrahima Konate
- If Ibrahima Konate records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Federico Valverde
- If Federico Valverde records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernardo Silva
- If Bernardo Silva records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pau Cubarsi
- If Pau Cubarsi records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aurelien Tchouameni
- If Aurelien Tchouameni records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gerard Martin
- If Gerard Martin records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dean Huijsen
- If Dean Huijsen records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lamine Yamal
- If Lamine Yamal records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphinha
- If Raphinha records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Anthony Gordon
- If Anthony Gordon records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fermin Lopez
- If Fermin Lopez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rodri
- If Rodri records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavi Espart Font
- If Xavi Espart Font records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marc Cucurella
- If Marc Cucurella records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alejandro Balde
- If Alejandro Balde records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
