KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 175 million bushels 96%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.8K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 11:00 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the global average yield of wheat exceed 3.8 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of wheat exceed 3.88 metric tons per hectare for the 2030 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of wheat exceed 3.65 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketRules
If USDA NASS reports that Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 is above
Settles via:USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
- 175 million bushels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the USDA NASS’s Kansas Winter Wheat - Production estimate for the 2026 crop, measured in bushels.
- 180 million bushels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 185 million bushels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 190 million bushels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↑ $95+14.9pt100%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $368.5K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026?
- Above $91.49+13.0pt99%
- Above $90.99+9.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+6.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.060099%
- Above 4.2200+18.0pt99%
- Above 3.980099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $235.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- $96.00 to $96.99+5.0pt14%
- $95.00 to $95.99+2.0pt14%
- $94.00 to $94.9913%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $240.5K
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Brent crude oil price on September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices this week
- Copper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Copper price on September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- How high will WTI oil get by Sep 30, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kansas wheat production in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 175 million bushels at 96% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Kansas wheat production in 2026 resolve?
- Kansas wheat production in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Kansas wheat production in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If USDA NASS reports that Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 is above