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  3. Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, 2026
Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, 2026

16.0% (24h)One-OffMacro & EconomyEconomy
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: At least 225,000 (72%)

Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, 1:45 PM

Current implied probability
At least 225,000
At least 225,000 72%+16.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$99.3

Liquidity

$219.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

52.0% / 72.0%

Spread

38.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 19 hours ago

Stale
Jun 11, 26, 7:00 PMJun 18, 26, 12:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
At least 225,000
At least 225,000
+16.0%
72%
At least 230,000
At least 230,000
+1.0%
33%
At least 205,000
At least 205,000
+2.0%
99%
At least 220,000
At least 220,000
80%
At least 200,000
At least 200,000
-1.0%
98%
At least 245,000
At least 245,000
-1.0%
2%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If there are at least 205,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 210,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 215,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 220,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 225,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 20, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 20, 2026

$0.1
At least 205,000: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will May 2026 U.S. real personal consumption expenditures rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

$73.7
Yes: 27.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will June 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?

$40
Yes: 64.7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will June 2026 U.S. building permits be at least 1.45 million (SAAR)?

$40
Yes: 28.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US housing starts for June

US housing starts for June

$6
Above 1.250M: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

$0.3
Above 50,000: 76%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,602.17-3.00%EthereumETH$1,694.94-3.21%SolanaSOL$68.32-4.96%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-3.18%XRPXRP$1.13-4.53%BNBBNB$573.87-2.91%

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Rules

If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If there are at least 205,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 210,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 215,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 220,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are at least 225,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.