KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Philippe Renard (97%)
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026, 3:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Philippe Renard
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Philippe Renard 91.5%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$104.3K
Liquidity
$70K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 9.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleAug 30, 26, 9:12 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Michael Wright9%
Philippe Renard97%
91.5%
8.5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Wright vs Renard professional tennis match in the 2026 M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Wright vs Renard professional tennis match in the 2026 M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Wright vs Renard?
- Kalshi prices Philippe Renard at 92% as of August 31, 2026.
- When does Wright vs Renard resolve?
- Wright vs Renard is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Wright vs Renard settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Wright vs Renard professional tennis match in the 2026 M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.